General Equilibrium Economic Modeling: Applications for Disasters Assessment
June 2-3, 2022 – Comisión Nacional de Prevención de Riesgos y Atención de Emergencias – Desarrollo Estratégico del SNGR, San José, Costa Rica
Lecturer: Prof. Eduardo Amaral Haddad – University of Sao Paulo (Brazil)
Eduardo Amaral Haddad
Prof. Haddad is Full Professor at the Department of Economics at the University of Sao Paulo, Brazil, where he directs the Regional and Urban Economics Lab (NEREUS). He also holds a position as Affiliate Research Professor at the Regional Economics Applications Laboratory – REAL – at the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, USA, and Professeur Affilié at Université Mohammed VI Polytechnique, Morocco. He is Senior Fellow at the Policy Center for the New South, Morocco.
Prof. Haddad has published widely in professional journals on regional and interregional input-output analysis, computable general equilibrium modeling, and various aspects of regional economic development in developing countries; he has also contributed with chapters in international books in the fields of regional science and economic development. His research focuses on large-scale modeling of multi-regional economic systems, with special interest in modeling integration applied to transportation, climate change and spatial interaction.
Prof. Haddad received his B.A. in Economics from the Federal University of Minas Gerais, Brazil, in 1993, and his Ph.D. in Economics from the University of Illinois at Urban-Champaign in 1997. In January-December 1998 he held a post-doctoral position at the University of Oxford. He has served as the president of the Brazilian Regional Science Association (2008-2010), and as the first president of the Regional Science Association of the Americas (2008-2010). He is the President (2021-2022) of the Regional Science Association International (RSAI). He was the Director of Research of the Institute of Economic Research Foundation – FIPE – from 2005 to 2013. He has spent the period January 2014 to June 2015 on sabbatical as a visitor at the Department of Economics (International Economics Section) at Princeton University, and at the Edward J. Bloustein School of Public Policy and Planning at Rutgers University. In 2017-2018, he was the Chairman of the Department of Economics at USP.
Material
Students should install the software GEMPACK and bring it in their computers on the first day of the workshop. If preferable, please download and install a temporary (three-month-free-trial) executable-image version of GEMPACK and bring it in your computer.
Students should also read Text 1, Text 2, and Text 3 before the first meeting. Other readings are provided below. It is also assumed that students are familiar with the basic input-output analysis.
Post-workshop Assignment
Go through the BMMX ICGE guide and answer the questions related to the BMMX ICGE model. Follow the instructions in Appendix 1 in order to install the model on your computer. You will need the following files:
Examples IO
Excel (check also https://guilhotojjmgen.wordpress.com/)
Examples IO Mexico
Exercise 1 – Agriculture in Sinaloa
Practice (Stylized Johansen Model)
Gempack documentation – pp 17-28 – download
Examples BMMX
Simulation 1 – Drought in Sinaloa
Simulation 2 – TFP growth in KIBS
Lectures
References
Multipliers in an Island Economy: The Case of the Azores, Haddad, E. A., Silva, V., Porsse, A. A., and Dentinho, T. In: A. Batabyal and P. Nijkamp (Eds.), The Region and Trade: New Analytical Directions, World Scientific, p. 205-226, 2015
Spatial Perspectives of Increasing Freeness of Trade in Lebanon, Haddad, E. A.. The Annals of Regional Science, v.53, n. 1, p. 23-54, 2014.
Domestic Tourism and Regional Inequality in Brazil, Haddad, E. A., Porsse, A. A., and Rabahy, W. A.. Tourism Economics, v. 19, p. 173-186, 2013.
Impact Assessment of Interregional Government Transfers: Lessons from the Brazil Experience, Haddad, E. A., Luque, C. A., Lima, G. T., Sakurai, S. N and Costa, S. M., In: J. R. Cuadrado-Roura and P. Aroca (Eds.), Regional Problems and Policies in Latin America, Advances in Spatial Science, Springer Verlag, p. 475-493, 2013
Climate Change and the Future of Regions, Azzoni, C. R. and Haddad, E. A.. In: R. Capello and T. P. Dentinho (Eds.). Networks, Space and Competitiveness: Evolving Challenges for Sustainable Growth. Edward Elgar Publishing, 2012.
Regional Integration in Colombia: A Spatial CGE Application, Haddad, E. A., Barufi, A. M. B., Costa, S. M.. Scienze Regionali / Italian Journal of Regional Science, v.10, p. 3-28, 2011.
Assessing the ex ante Economic Impacts of Transportation Infrastructure Policies in Brazil, Haddad, E. A.; Perobelli, F. S.; Domingues, E. P.; Aguiar, M.. Journal of Development Effectiveness, v. 3, no.1, p. 44-61, 2011.
Major Sport Events and Regional Development: The Case of the Rio de Janeiro 2016 Olympic Games, Haddad, E. A. e Haddad, P. R.. Regional Science Policy and Practice, v. 2, p. 79-95, 2010.
Regional Effects of Port Infrastructure: A Spatial CGE Application to Brazil, Haddad, E. A., Hewings, G. J. D., Perobelli, F. S. e dos Santos, R. A. C.. International Regional Science Review, v. 33, p. 239-263, 2010.
Spatial Aspects of Trade Liberalization in Colombia: A General Equilibrium Approach, Haddad, E. A., Bonet, J., Hewings, G.J.D. e Perobelli, F.S.. Papers in Regional Science, v. 88, p. 699-732, 2009.
Input-Output Analysis: Foundations and Extensions, Miller, R, and Blair P., 2nd Edition. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, 2009.
Interregional Computable General Equilibrium Models, Haddad, E. A.. In: Sonis, M.; Hewings, G. J. D. (Org.). Tool Kits in Regional Science: Theory, Models and Estimation, Berlin: Springer, p. 119-154, 2009.
Notes and Problems in Applied General Equilibrium Economics, Dixon, P.B.,Parmenter, B.R., Powell, A. A. and Wilcoxen, P. J., Amsterdam, North-Holland, 1992.
Notes and Problems in Microeconomic Theory , Dixon, P.B.,Bowles, S. and Kendrick, D., Amsterdam, North-Holland, 1980.